The median home in Mesa was valued at $440,800 in 2024. Home prices across the metro area have moved since, and carried forward by the FHFA index, that's about $452,000 as of 2026 Q2. Projected forward, it would be about $456,000 in 2027 and $607,000 in 2031. The first 2 years follow the metro index's change over the past year (+0.8%); later years use its 2020–2025 average (+9.7% a year).
Mesa home values by year
| Year | Median home value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 (estimate) | $452,000 | ACS 2024 value × FHFA index change |
| 2027 (projected) | $456,000 | +0.8% (past year) |
| 2028 (projected) | $460,000 | +0.8% (past year) |
| 2031 (projected) | $607,000 | +9.7% (2020–2025 average) |
Median home value in Mesa, from the Census
| Year | Median home value |
|---|---|
| 2019 | $259,300 |
| 2023 | $424,100 |
| 2024 | $440,800 |
Read this with care
The Census value is owners' own estimate, and the FHFA index covers the whole metro area (Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ), not Mesa alone. Moving a 2024 city median forward by a metro index is an estimate, and the projection carries two trends forward; it isn't a call on the next turn. For a specific ZIP code, use Predictye Property.
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 1-year estimates (2019, 2023, 2024) forMesa (Mesa city, Arizona); medians are shown only when their margin of error is within 10%. FHFA all-transactions house price index for Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ, through 2026Q2. How Predictye calculates this.
Frequently asked questions
What will homes in Mesa, AZ be worth in 2027?
A home at the city's median would be worth about $456,000 in 2027, starting from an estimated $452,000 in 2026 Q2. The first 2 years follow the metro index's change over the past year (+0.8%); later years use its 2020–2025 average (+9.7% a year).
What is the median home value in Mesa, AZ?
$440,800 in 2024, from the Census Bureau's American Community Survey. It's owners' estimate of their home's value.
Are home prices in Mesa, AZ going up or down?
Across Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ, the FHFA house price index moved +0.8% over the year to 2026 Q2, and averaged +9.7% a year from 2020 to 2025.